BuildersLens

The thesis

The Five Phases of the Macro Cycle









The Five Phases of the Macro Cycle

Interactive Macro Regime Framework

BUILDERSLENS MACRO FRAMEWORK

5 Phases · 5 Signal Layers · 30 Economic Models · 97 Years of Data

65
Signals
5
Layers
5
Phases
30
Models
9
Triggers
Phase Timeline
Layer Pyramid
Phase × Layer Matrix

0
Recovery
Post-Crisis

1
Expansion
Melt-Up

2
Cracks
Formation

3
Liquidation
Forced Selling

4
Reset
Policy Response



📊 Run Your Own Analysis

Use the BuildersLens 65-Signal Analyzer to see live macro positioning for tickers and signals mentioned in this article:

Analyze VNQ (Real Estate ETF)

Analyze VIX (CBOE Volatility Index)

Analyze TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield)

Analyze TLT (20+ Year Treasury ETF)

Analyze HYG (High Yield Corporate Bond ETF)

Analyze ICE (Intercontinental Exchange)

Signals Referenced:

→ Current Phase (Layer 5: BL Score)

→ Bank Lending (Layer 2: Indicators)

→ CAPE Ratio (Layer 3: Momentum)

→ Case-Shiller Home Price (Layer 2: Indicators)

Compare All Tickers →

Free Macro Analysis Tool

Explore the signals behind this article with our 65-signal macro overlay. Credit spreads, yield curves, volatility regimes — all in one view.

Open the Analyzer →



The Five Layers × Current Readings

Live signal health from the 65-signal framework.

Sector Phase Positioning

Where each sector sits within the five-phase framework — derived from 65 signals and sector sensitivity weights.

Loading signal data…